Monday, November 24, 2014

Winter Contest 2014-2015

VERY, VERY IMPORTANT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Due to problems beyond my control, the email address "weather@katv.com" encountered problems Tuesday.  If you sent your contest numbers in after 9AM Tuesday through 11AM Wednesday, you need to resend it to weather@katv.com

Sorry for the problem

**** also, please read the rules page located in the navigation bar above***
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FOR THE POST,"THANKSGIVING AND BEYOND... IT MAY GET ACTIVE", SCROLL DOWN TO THE NEXT POST.  

PLEASE READ BELOW AND ENTER THE WINTER WEATHER CONTEST.  READ FOR DETAILS!


http://www.davisnet.com/













It's finally here!  The winter weather contest for 2014-2015 and we have an awesome grand prize!  A professional home weather station from the best in the business, Davis Instruments.  The "Vantage Vue" is a  wireless weather station that provides accurate, reliable weather monitoring in a self-contained, easy-to-install system.  It includes outdoor sensor array and LCD console.  You'll see current weather conditions, including indoor and outdoor temperature and humidity, barometric pressure, wind speed and direction, dew point and rainfall. You'll also get weather forecast icons, moon phase, sunrise/sunset times, graphing of weather trends, alarms and more. Vantage Vue also boasts the innovative Weather Center button that displays additional data on weather variables for today and over the last 25 days.

This has a value of almost $400.  It's a weather geeks dream prize!  To read more about the Vantage Vue and its numerous features, CLICK HERE!


The second prize is a free download of "RadarScope" for your smart phone.  This app is the best radar app available on the market.  You'll have access to every NEXRAD radar around the country with dozens of products including dual pol.    This app is valued at $9.99














The third prize is dinner for 4 at the Golden Corral in North Little Rock.  The all you can eat buffet is well known from all corners of the state.  Take some friends and/or family to brag about your new professional home weather station.











NOW FOR THE CONTEST RULES....

All entries must be emailed to weather@katv.com by Sunday, November 30th at 9PM.  The contest will run from December 1st, 2014 and end February 28th, 2015.  Only 1 entry per person.

WE ARE ONCE AGAIN USING "PRICE IS RIGHT RULES".  WHOEVER IS CLOSEST WITHOUT GOING OVER WINS.

Contest question...

What will be the combined accumulated snowfall to the nearest tenth of an inch for Little Rock, North Little Rock, Harrison, and Pine Bluff for the period December 1st through February 28th?

For example, let's say hypothetically snowfall totals for the 3 months are: Pine Bluff 3.4'', Little Rock 5.5'', Harrison 12.4'', and North Little Rock 6.8''.  Your answer would be 28.1 inches.

Tiebreaker:

What will be the combined total low temperature December 1st through Feb. 28th for Little Rock and North Little Rock. For example, if Little Rock has a low temperature every night of 30 degrees and North Little Rock has a low temperature every night of 25 degrees.  Over those 90 days of the contest, your answer would be 4950

All the data will be gathered from official National Weather Service observation locations in each city.

So there you have it!  Make sure you answer both or I will not be able to include you in the contest.


GOOD LUCK WEATHER GEEKS!

Thanksgiving And Beyond... It May Get Active.


A few days ago I said the forecast for the end of this week was as clear as mud, however, that picture has come into focus.  A strong cold front will move through the state Wednesday, but there will not be much moisture for it to work with.  I only expect a few clouds and maybe a shower or even a few snowflakes across far northeast Arkansas.  This cold front will bring below average temperatures Thanksgiving with plenty of sunshine.  I would expect highs near 50 degrees.  Great weather to head outside and toss the football around!

As we go into the weekend and the following week, things get very active and interesting.  While the models are in some sort of agreement, I do not trust specifics at all right now. There will be some arctic air which will try to get into the mid south by the beginning of next week.  With this being 6-7 days out, I do not trust the model placement of that arctic boundary.  It's worth noting, at this time, most of the data I have looked at keeps it either in northern Arkansas or even further to the north.  This would keep most of the Natural State in the warm sector.  No matter where this front ends up, it may not matter with the system coming at us from the western United States around Tuesday/Wednesday of next week (December 2 and 3).  That system will allow Gulf warmth and moisture to surge northward and I would not doubt if some locations reached 70 degrees!  That's never good in December.  I want to remind everyone that we are still in our secondary severe weather season!  This potent storm is seen by all long range models, but specifics can not be pinned down this far out.  The timing, strength, and track is still very, very uncertain.  The model maps below explain the possibilities.

These are possible high temperatures according to the GFS on Thanksgiving.  This data is courtesy of weatherbell.com  Notice it's cooler across northeast Arkansas and warmer across the SW.   That's due to the fact the core of the cold is with the surface high which should track northeast of the state.
Let's fast forward to Monday, December 1st.  Look at that sharp boundary getting into northwest Arkansas.  According to this piece of data, that's as far south as it gets with well above average temperatures south of it.  This is almost 7 days away and I do not trust this specific location.  As I pointed out above, it may not matter because that boundary will eventually get kicked to the north no matter what as a strong storm approaches from the west.
This is the GFS valid next Wednesday at noon.  It indicates a strong storm system bringing heavy rain and storms to much of the state.
The European for this same time period brings in the front close to NW Arkansas, but holds the storm over the southwestern United States and swings it through here late in the week.  So you can see, both have the storm, but are different on timing, strength and track.
In summary, Thanksgiving looks nice with a warming trend into the weekend.  We'll have to watch the middle of the following week for a storm system swinging out of the plains.  Whether or not we have any strong/severe weather is questionable, but I want to get the word out now to create awareness.  Remember, this is our secondary severe weather season.  I'll keep you updated.

Sunday, November 23, 2014

2014-2015 Winter Contest

http://www.davisnet.com/
It's finally here!  The winter weather contest for 2014-2015 and we have an awesome grand prize!  A professional home weather station from the best in the business, Davis Instruments.  The "Vantage Vue" is a  wireless weather station that provides accurate, reliable weather monitoring in a self-contained, easy-to-install system.  It includes outdoor sensor array and LCD console.  You'll see current weather conditions, including indoor and outdoor temperature and humidity, barometric pressure, wind speed and direction, dew point and rainfall. You'll also get weather forecast icons, moon phase, sunrise/sunset times, graphing of weather trends, alarms and more. Vantage Vue also boasts the innovative Weather Center button that displays additional data on weather variables for today and over the last 25 days.

This has a value of almost $400.  It's a weather geeks dream prize!  To read more about the Vantage Vue and its numerous features, CLICK HERE!


The second prize is a free download of "RadarScope" for your smart phone.  This app is the best radar app available on the market.  You'll have access to every NEXRAD radar around the country with dozens of products including dual pol.    This app is valued at $9.99














The third prize is dinner for 4 at the Golden Corral in North Little Rock.  The all you can eat buffet is well known from all corners of the state.  Take some friends and/or family to brag about your new professional home weather station.











NOW FOR THE CONTEST RULES....

All entries must be emailed to weather@katv.com by Sunday, November 30th at 9PM.  The contest will run from December 1st, 2014 and end February 28th, 2015.  Only 1 entry per person.

WE ARE ONCE AGAIN USING "PRICE IS RIGHT RULES".  WHOEVER IS CLOSEST WITHOUT GOING OVER WINS.

Contest question...

What will be the combined accumulated snowfall to the nearest tenth of an inch for Little Rock, North Little Rock, Harrison, and Pine Bluff for the period December 1st through February 28th?

For example, let's say hypothetically snowfall totals for the 3 months are: Pine Bluff 3.4'', Little Rock 5.5'', Harrison 12.4'', and North Little Rock 6.8''.  Your answer would be 28.1 inches.

Tiebreaker:

What will be the combined total low temperature December 1st through Feb. 28th for Little Rock and North Little Rock. For example, if Little Rock has a low temperature every night of 30 degrees and North Little Rock has a low temperature every night of 25 degrees.  Over those 90 days of the contest, your answer would be 4950

All the data will be gathered from official National Weather Service observation locations in each city.

So there you have it!  Make sure you answer both or I will not be able to include you in the contest.


GOOD LUCK WEATHER GEEKS!